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Michele Tafoya
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Michele Tafoya

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Minnesota Hasn’t Elected a Republican Senator Since 2002. Michele Tafoya Leads Among Independents, Has More Cash Than Peggy Flanagan, and Trails by 1 to 4 Points

Minnesota Senate 2026: Peggy Flanagan leads Michele Tafoya by 1 to 4 points in October polls; Tafoya leads independents 38% to 32% and has more cash on hand. No Republican has won a Minnesota Senate race since 2002.

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Flanagan 47%, Tafoya 43% in Minnesota, With 9% Undecided and Independents Leaning Republican Before Friday’s Only Debate

Star Tribune/KARE 11 (Mason-Dixon), Oct. 5–7: Peggy Flanagan 47%, Michele Tafoya 43%, 9% undecided among 800 Minnesota likely voters (±3.5). Independents: Tafoya 38%, Flanagan 32%. Trump approval: 38%.

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The Minnesota State Capitol in St. Paulxiquinhosilva / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY 2.0)

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Minnesota’s “Safe” Senate Seat Is Tightening: Flanagan Leads Tafoya by Four in New Poll, One in Another

Minnesota's open Senate race is tightening: a Daily Agenda/Morning Consult poll has Peggy Flanagan ahead of Michele Tafoya 45%-41%, and InsiderAdvantage had it 46%-45%. Early voting is already under way.

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Minnesota 2026 Midterm Guide: Flanagan vs. Tafoya for an Open Senate Seat, and Klobuchar vs. Demuth for Governor

Who is on the Minnesota ballot Nov. 3, 2026: Peggy Flanagan vs. Michele Tafoya for the open Senate seat, Amy Klobuchar vs. Lisa Demuth for governor, and all eight House races, with FEC money and voting information.

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